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Chandy resigns, P Vijayan to be next Kerala CM

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PINARAYI VIJAYAN

Thiruvananthapuram: CPI-M politburo member Pinarayi Vijayan has been chosen as next Chief Minister of Kerala, a day after the marxist party-led LDF romped home to power in the Assembly polls, according to reports.

The CPI-M secretariat and party’s Kerala committee met here today in the presence of General Secretary Sitaram Yechury.

CPI-M veteran V S Achuthanandan and party politburo member Pinarayi Vijayan, both of whom were elected to the Assembly, were being considered for the top slot. The meeting assumed significance as it had to choose one among them.

In the 140-member state Assembly, CPI-M-led LDF won 91 seats, UDF headed by Congress 47, BJP and Independents, one each.

Chandy resigns

Kerala Chief Minister Oommen Chandy today resigned from the post following the defeat of Congress-led UDF in the Assembly election.

Chandy drove to the Raj Bhavan this morning around 1030 hrs and submitted his resignation letter to Governor P Sathasivam.

He told reporters that UDF and Congress would be meeting next week to discuss the poll debacle and take stock of the situation.

UDF, which was trounced by CPI(M) headed LDF in the May 16 polls, bagged only 47 seats against the rival front’s 91.

“This is only a temporary phenomena and Congress will come back with strength,” 72-year-old Chandy said, adding, “the party and Front have the responsibility for the setback, but as chairman of UDF, I have more responsibility”.

On reports that he was not willing to take up the post of Leader of Opposition, he said, “It is a matter to be discussed at the party level. I have nothing more to say.”

Chandy said that he would be going to the state Secretariat to meet his office staff and other employees.

Chandy has the distinction of being the only Congress chief minister to have completed the five-year term in office.

(Agencies)

 

Shane Watson bats for P&G Shiksha programme

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Shane Watson

Bengaluru: Veteran Australian cricketer Shane Watson on Thursday batted for P&G’s flagship Corporate Social Responsibility programme P&G Shiksha and emphasised the importance of education in the lives of children.

P&G Shiksha has supported over 450 schools till date, reaching over 8,00,000 underprivileged children. In its 12th year, it launched ‘Shiksha Superheroes’, a campaign to acknowledge consumers, the real-life superheroes who make a simple brand choice of buying P&G products.

Watson attended an event at the P&G Shiksha School here. The 34-year-old encouraged the people of India and Bengaluru to be Shiksha Superheroes by simply choosing P&G products and contribute to the education of underprivileged children. During the event, Watson also shared his school memories with the children and emphasised on the importance of sports and extra-curricular activities in their holistic development while teaching them a few cricketing strokes.

The Shiksha school children were quite excited to meet their hero and also requested him to play the guitar. Watson immediately obliged and charmed his young fans by strumming the guitar on his favourite song.

During the school visit, the Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB) all-rounder remarked, “Today, while I spent time with P&G Shiksha children, I was nostalgic reminiscing my school days.

“It felt amazing to interact with these young kids who are really talented and have a bright future ahead of them.

“This is the first time I associated with P&G Shiksha and I am delighted to witness the difference that P&G Shiksha has made by building and supporting more than 450 schools that will impact the lives of 800,000 children.”

(IANS)

Himalaya’s AyurWhiz, a Pan – India competition to find the brightest minds in Ayurveda culminates at Bangalore

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ayurwhiz

Bangalore: The Himalaya Drug Company, India’s leading Herbal Health and Personal Care Company organized its final round for the AMC (Ayurvedic Medical College) Connect on 18th May 2016 at J N Auditorium, Bangalore. The initiative aims to recognize academic excellence of students in Ayurveda Medical Colleges across the country. The 8 shortlisted students from over 22 states – and four different zones were chosen post multiple elimination rounds.

Through this initiative, Himalaya aims to give young and bright minds of Ayurveda a national platform, to meet and interact with students of other colleges, exchange views, discuss the future of this science and of course compete in AyurWhiz, a national quiz competition.

Till date the competition has more than 6,000 students through a rigorous screening process in the preliminary rounds which includes over 130 preliminary contests in all the colleges, 14 cluster contests for Karnataka & Maharashtra states, 22 state level finals and four zonal finals.

The four teams, who made it to the finals, were:
· State Ayurveda College, Lucknow UP – representing North zone

· Government Ayurveda College, Guwahati Assam – representing East zone

· SDM College of Ayurveda, Udupi – representing South zone

· Government Ashtang Ayurveda College, Indore – representing West zone

This unique initiative under AMC Connect was conceptualised and launched by Mr. Philipe Haydon – CEO, The Himalaya Drug Company in the year 2009. Mr. Haydon, an ardent proponent of the science of Ayurveda, spoke at the 3rd annual competition of AyurWhiz, “Ayurveda’s time has finally come. Today, it is widely recognised that Ayurveda is vital to a holistic, integrated and patient-centric model of healthcare. The rise of lifestyle diseases has brought the science of Ayurveda, quite literally, ‘the science of life’, into the mainstream, because it offers efficacious solutions for relief in and management of chronic conditions. To ensure that India becomes the hub of innovative and contemporary Ayurveda, we need to encourage, engage and elevate young students who are pursuing the study of this wonderful science. This is why an initiative like Ayurrwhiz is important.”

Dr. Rangesh, Chief Scientific Officer, The Himalaya Drug Company, emphasised the need for a trans-disciplinary approach to Ayurveda, which propagates collaboration between different scientific disciplines and streams of medicine to arrive at a common solution, one that is safe and most effective for the patient.

The National quiz was moderated by Dr. Srikanth, National Manager – Scientific Services, Pharmaceutical, The Himalaya Drug Company, who through his interactive approach and interesting questions took over the stage. It was a highly competitive contest with all teams putting up a good show. Dr. Sandya Lakshim and Dr. Nandeesh from SDM College Ayurveda, Udupi, Mangalore who represented Team South adjudged the winners of the final competition.

About The Himalaya Drug Company: The Himalaya Drug Company was founded in 1930 by Mr M. Manal with a vision to bring Ayurveda to society in a contemporary form and to unravel the mystery behind the 5,000-year-old system of medicine. The legacy of researching nature forms the foundation of Himalaya’s operations. Himalaya has pioneered the use of modern science to rediscover and validate Ayurveda’s secrets. Today, with a history spanning more than eight decades in herbal research, Himalaya has positioned itself as a brand that cares about not only enriching people’s lives but also the environment. With their ‘head to heel’ range of products Himalaya aims to provide a holistic solution to everyday ailments that affect our bodies.

Seeped in a legacy of researching nature, Himalaya has successfully been able to harness the science of Ayurveda through cutting-edge research to become a brand that is safe, gentle and trustworthy.

Punjab National Bank – Asset quality pangs; long haul ahead

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punjab national bank

Punjab National Bank (PNB IN, INR 76, Buy)

Punjab National Bank’s (PNB) Q4FY16 profitability was hit by continued disappointment on asset quality. Slippages spiked to INR235bn (24% versus run-rate of <6% in past 6 quarters) with GNPLs touching 12.9%. This resulted in slower revenue momentum (NII fell >27% YoY) with NIMs taking a knock due to higher interest income reversal. Loan growth, at ~10% (albeit slower than trend), was better than peers with focus on granularity (small ticket size loans >57% of loans). Given weak RoE profile and elevated stress PNB is not preferred pick. But, considering valuations of 0.5x FY18E book after factoring in potential stress, focus on granularity & healthy liability franchise (CASA > 40%), we maintain ‘BUY’.

Stress formation dealt a nasty blow, outlook cautious
Slippages spiked to INR235bn (crossing 20% mark), taking GNPLs to 12.9% (versus 8.5% in Q3FY16). While part of it was attributable to RBI’s asset quality review, even adjusted for that slippages were on higher side. A large part of stress emanated from restructured book (>40% of slippages), with overall stress pool (NNPLs plus restructured) coming in at 13.5% (14.4% in Q3FY16). Sector-wise iron & steel, chemical and other infra sectors were main contributors to stress. While management guided for lower incremental stress going ahead, SMA-II accounts of INR110bn (~3% of book) and high exposure to stressed segments (I&S and power), keeps us guarded.

Revenue traction sluggish; lower opex cushions profitability
High asset quality stress also took a toll on revenue momentum (NII fell >30% QoQ) with NIMs dipping owing to higher interest income reversal (NIMs down >90bps QoQ). However, lower opex (down >16% YoY, gains on pension assets of ~INR4bn) and higher recovery from written-off accounts (core fee was softer) cushioned the impact.

Outlook and valuations: Asset quality vital; maintain ‘BUY’
PNB’s performance was marred by dismal asset quality, leading to loss in FY16. Incorporating lower NIMs and lower growth, we lower FY17/18E EPS by 10%/9%. While the bank has relatively higher dilution risk at weak multiple, government’s assurance of capital support to leading PSU banks will cushion impact. Given weak RoE profile and elevated stress, PNB is not a preferred pick. But, valuations of 0.5x FY18E book after factoring in potential stress, focus on granularity and healthy liability franchise, we maintain ‘BUY/SP’ with TP of INR120.

Motherson Sumi Systems – Outlook improving, but largely priced in

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Motherson Sumi Systems

Motherson Sumi’s (MSS) Q4FY16 adjusted EBITDA at INR10.6bn (up 17% YoY) came ~6% below our estimate due to sharp disappointment in SMR/SMP revenues. Key highlights were: 1) India business (revenue and margin) surprised positively; 2) SMRPBV’s disappointing revenue was compensated by robust margin; 3) sharp jump in SMRPBV’s order book to EUR13.5bn (EUR10.8bn YoY); and 4) robust demand outlook across key clients and geographies. Maintain ‘HOLD’ with SOTP-based target price of INR280 (standalone: 22x, SMR: 12x and SMP: 12x FY18E PER).

Operating performance: SMR/SMP revenues disappoint
Consolidated revenue at INR102bn (up 8% YoY) was ~6% below our estimate due to weaker-than-expected revenue in SMR and SMP. In EUR terms, SMR and SMP revenue grew 7% and 2% YoY, respectively (slowest in past 8-10 quarters). However, India business surprised positively with 13% YoY revenue jump led by higher share of new models and rising content per vehicle. EBITDA margin of India business at 20.9% (up 240bps QoQ) and SMR business at 12.5 % (up 180bps QoQ) surprised positively.

India: Worst is behind; SMR/SMP margin trend key monitorable
After 4 quarters of subdued growth, India revenue grew 13% YoY. We estimate 17%/22% revenue growth for FY17/18 as the market share loss phase is behind. In SMR/SMP, ramp up of new plants remains key to revenue growth and margin improvement. We estimate ~15% revenue growth for SMR/SMP in FY17/18 each.

Outlook and valuations: Positives factored in; maintain ‘HOLD’
We believe the earnings downgrade cycle is largely behind. For India, we expect revenue growth to track volumes going ahead. We estimate FY16-18 consolidated EPS CAGR of 26% with ~36% RoE. RoCE is anticipated to catapult to ~36% in FY18 from 26% in FY16 and net debt/equity is likely to improve as well to 0.3x from 0.7x over the same period. Ergo, we revise up our target PE multiples for standalone business to 22x (from 20x) and of SMR/SMP businesses to 12x (from 10x). However, the recent stock price surge captures the positives. Hence, we maintain ‘HOLD/SU’ with revised target price of INR280 (INR248 earlier). At CMP, the stock trades at FY18E PER of 17x.

Kerala poll: Sreesanth clean bowled

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Sreesanth

Thiruvananthapuram: Former cricketer S Sreesanth, who recently joined the BJP, was on Thursday finished at the third spot in his Thiruvananthapuram constituency in the Kerala assembly elections.

State health minister VS Shivakumar retained the seat.

Sivakumar polled 46,474 votes, winning over his nearest rival Antony Raju by a margin of 10,905 votes. Raju polled 35,569 votes.

Sreesanth came third with 34,764 votes.

As of latest media reports, the LDF is leading in 89 seats, UDF in 49 and BJP in 1.

Sreesanth was given a life ban by the BCCI in September 2013 after being found guilty of spot-fixing in that year’s IPL tournament. However, a Delhi court exonerated Sreesanth along with two other cricketers–Ankeet Chavan and Ajit Chandila–in July 2015 in the high-profile IPL match-fixing case which had blown the lid off cricket’s biggest scandal in recent times.

The 33-year-old had earlier said his name had been cleared by the court in the match-fixing case and he was not worried about any political attack over the controversy.

(Agencies)

TMC in WB; BJP in Assam; AIADMK in TN; LDF in Kerala

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West Bengal Tamil Nadu

New Delhi: The BJP appears to have stormed Assam unseating Congress which also looks like losing Kerala as incumbent TMC and AIADMK are cruising comfortably to retain power in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu.

In the Union Territory of Puducherry, Congress-DMK alliance was ahead in the 30-member assembly closely followed by AINRC headed by Chief Minister and former Congressman N Rangaswamy.

Assam is on the road to making history with BJP set to get its first government in the North East by dislodging Congress which has been in power for three consecutive terms.

The saffron party was leading in 73 of the 126 seats while the ruling Congress was trailing far behind at 33. The ADUF led by Badaruddin Ajmal was ahead in 13 seats. ‘Others’ were leading in eight seats.

In West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee’s TMC maintained its hold against an unlikely alliance of CPI(M) and Congress and her look like bettering its last election performance. The TMC was ahead in 216 seats out of total 294. The Left parties are leading in 30 and Congress in 37 while BJP was ahead in 9 seats.

As per trends, J Jayalalithaa-led AIADMK appears to be winning Tamil Nadu for a straight second term, bucking the tradition since 1989 when a ruling party has not returned to power. AIADMK’s performance has also disproved several exit poll predictions which had tipped the DMK-Congress alliance to come to power.

The AIADMK was leading in 126 seats while DMK-Congress alliance was ahead in 91 seats. While the third front of parties headed by DMDK’s Vijaykant failed to make any impact, the PMK which contested all the 234 seats could lead only in seven seats.

In Kerala, the Left Front was well on the road to dislodge Congress from power keeping up the tradition of voting out the incumbent government. The Left Democratic Front was ahead in 88 of the 140 seats while the ruling UDF was behind at 50.

According to trends, BJP may make a maiden entry in the state with the party said to be leading in one seat.

In Puducherry, the Congress-DMK alliance was leading in 13 of the 30 seats. The ruling AINRC was leading in 12 seats while AIADMK was ahead in two seats.

(Agencies)

NBCC – On sound turf

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NBCC

NBCC maintained strong execution run rate and posted 39% YoY jump in revenue growth for Q4FY16. One-off employee costs led to reported EBIDTA margin falling 220bps YoY to 7.8%. However, adjusted PAT was in line with estimates. Aided by order intake worth INR175bn during FY16, the company’s order book stands at ~INR310bn (book-to-bill at 5.3x) with further ~INR300bn projects at various stages of approval. Robust revenue visibility, cash-rich balance sheet and near monopoly in redevelopment space will enable NBCC to post 30% plus PAT CAGR over FY16-18E. Maintain ‘BUY’ with a revised target price of INR1,267 (INR1,278 earlier).

Robust execution continues
Top line surged 39% YoY to INR23bn in Q4FY16 (our estimate INR22.6bn) with ~INR3bn contribution from Kidwai Nagar project (INR9bn in FY16). One-time provision for post retirement medical benefits as well as special bonus to employees on achievement of ‘Navratna’ status impacted margins. Reported PAT, at INR1.4bn, was up 4% YoY; adjusted for one-offs, it would have been in line with estimates. The company delivered 32% top-line growth in FY16 with adjusted post growing ~20%.

Strong revenue visibility, opportunities galore
NBCC ended the year with order book of INR310bn (FY15 order book at ~INR193bn). In addition, projects worth ~INR300bn (including 2 projects from DDA, government colonies redevelopment in Delhi) are at an advanced stage of approval. Management expects sanction for redevelopment of government colonies in Delhi to come by July end. These projects will require initial investment of INR3-5bn.

Outlook and valuations: Attractive; maintain ‘BUY’
Operating leverage and increasing share of redevelopment projects will improve margin trajectory going ahead. Burgeoning order book, robust return ratios (25%+ RoEs) and cash-rich balance sheet make NBCC a worthwhile bet in our view. We maintain ‘BUY’ with a revised target price of INR1,267, based on 27x FY18E EPS.

Allahabad Bank – No cheer, all staid;

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Allahabad Bank

Allahabad Bank (ALBK) reported INR5.8bn loss in Q4FY16 impacted by muted revenue momentum and blow up in asset quality. Slippages spiked to INR74bn (>19% versus 4-5% run rate in past 6 quarters). Revenue momentum was tepid with NII slipping >12% YoY. However, controlled opex cushioned profitability. Factoring in higher-than-anticipated credit cost, we prune our FY17/18E earnings by ~10%/9%. On operational front ALBK’s competitive prowess will be severely impacted given diversion towards clean up coupled with capital constraints for growth (which may not be forthcoming for mid-sized PSU banks) thus we see operating profitability to remain under pressure. Maintain ‘HOLD’.

Slippages spike further; outlook cautious
Slippages catapulted to INR74bn, with INR9.75bn on account of banks AQR and INR49bn accounts related to other banks AQR. Management highlighted things are unlikely to improve soon as balance sheet clean up continues (INR87.2bn of SMA-II accounts need monitoring). Additionally, performance of accounts under 5:25 scheme (INR14.6bn), SDR cases (INR17.8bn), higher exposure to stressed segments (I&S and power) and overall elevated stressed assets (NNPLs plus restructured book) at > 12% keeps us guarded.

Revenue traction drags, lower opex cushions profitability
Soft NII growth (down >12% YoY on muted loan growth and softer NIMs) fed into slower revenue traction, in turn leading to >9% YoY decline in core operating profitability. Lower opex (down > 5% YoY) cushioned profitability. Given structural challenges, we see operating profitability remaining under pressure.

Outlook and valuations: Structural challenges lurk; maintain ‘HOLD’
Apart from high asset quality stress, mid-size PSU banks are hampered on operational front too. We perceive clear demarcation between large and mid-size PSU banks and expect pressure to continue in latter. Given increasing BASEL III requirement and limited capital support from government, dilution risk is imminent at weak multiples, which will be detrimental to shareholders’ returns. The stock is trading at 0.5x FY18E P/BV (post dilution). We maintain ‘HOLD/SU’ with TP of INR58.

Samajwadi Party names Amar Singh, Beni Verma for RS election

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amar singh

Lucknow: Over six years after it expelled Amar Singh, the Samajwadi Party today “unanimously” declared him as its candidate for the Rajya Sabha polls, setting the stage for his possible return to the party.

The party also nominated six others, including former Union minister Beni Prasad Verma, an influential Kurmi leader who recently quit Congress and returned to the Samajwadi Party, and realtor Sanjay Seth for the biennial polls scheduled next month.

When asked about when would Singh, a former confidante of Mulayam Singh Yadav, rejoin the party, Shivpal Singh Yadav, a UP Minister and brother of party supremo Mulayam Singh Yadav said,” It will be decided by Netaji (Mulayam) and Amar Singh. We have earlier also sent Congress leaders Pramod Tiwari and P L Punia to Rajya Sabha.”

Amar Singh along with his close associate Jaya Prada were expelled from the Samajwadi Party in February, 2010. He floated his own political party, Rashtriya Lok Manch, in 2011, and fielded a large number of candidates in 2012 assembly polls. However, none of his candidates won. He had joined the Rashtriya Lok Dal and contested the 2014 Lok Sabha poll from Fatehpur Sikri but lost.

Samajwadi Party denied there were “differences” over some candidates and claimed the decision on fielding them for the Rajya Sabha polls was “unanimous”.”The SP parliamentary board has unanimously decided seven names for Rajya Sabha. There were no differences and party supremo Mulayam Singh Yadav was authorised to take the final decision. The names were read out in the meeting,” Shivpal, also the party spokesman, told reporters.

The board has taken the decision after much thought and it will strengthen the party, he said, refuting reports of certain “objections” raised over some candidates at the meeting held today.

The seven candidates are — Beni Prasad Verma, Amar Singh, Sanjay Seth, Sukhram Singh Yadav, Reoti Raman Singh, Vishwambhar Prasad Nishad and Arvind Pratap Singh.

Seth is a controversial Lucknow-based builder, who was earlier recommended to be nominated an MLC by the ruling party but his name was not approved by Governor Ram Naik. The governor had also rejected the government’s proposal to nominate Rajvijay Singh and Kamlesh Pathak to the Legislative Council, contending that they did not qualify for it due to criminal cases pending against them.
Both Ranvijay Singh and Kamlesh Pathak figure in the list of eight candidates for the Legislative Council polls.

Others are Balram Yadav, Shatrudra Prakash, Yashwant Singh, Bukkal Nawab, Ram Sundar Das and Jagjivan Ram.

The Governor had clarified that under Article 171(5) of the Constitution, MLCs are to be nominated from five fields — literature, art, science, cooperative movement and social service, and these belonged to none of these category.

The support of 37 MLAs would be needed for a candidate’s victory the Rajya Sabha polls.

As per the existing strength of different parties in the 403-member state Assembly, Samajwadi Party with 227 MLAs would be able to get six nominees elected to the Rajya Sabha, the BSP two, and BJP one. Of the nine seats falling vacant, BSP has six and SP three.

(PTI)

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